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Topic

Sports analytics

Sport generates cleaner data than almost any other subject: fixed rules, complete records, and a result at the end of every contest. That makes it the best available classroom for statistics, because you can check whether a model was right.

These clips cover the measures that changed how games are analysed, and the recurring lesson underneath them — that a season is short enough for luck to look exactly like skill.

Videos
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Every clip here states its source and the period it covers, and carries the underlying numbers on its page as a table you can copy.

What you'll learn

What this topic covers

  • What expected goals measures, and what it deliberately ignores
  • Why a hot streak is usually a sample size rather than a state of mind
  • How efficiency metrics rank players differently from counting stats
  • What win probability models are doing between plays
  • Why last season's leaders regress, without anybody getting worse

Videos

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